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Also see: Election 2018; gerrymandering;

          
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-- 2016 --

November 10: Over 60 million people cast their ballots for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, while 59.8 million voted for Trump. But how did these votes split on demographic and party lines?
http://www.businessinsider.com/exit-polls-who-voted-for-trump-clinton-2016-11

-- 2017 --

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May edition: The demographic changes that have taken hold across the U.S. will continue their transformation of America ... The nation as a whole will turn grayer and its racial and ethnic diversification is expected to continue: In less than 40 years, the U.S. will not have a single racial or ethnic majority group ...
http://www.pewresearch.org/2017/01/10/how-america-changed-during-barack-obamas-presidency/

June 28: Trump Fails To Reach Beyond Base As Independents' Disapproval Grows
https://www.npr.org/2017/06/28/534602973/trump-fails-to-reach-beyond-base-as-independents-disapproval-grows

-- 2018 --

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January 22: The GOP will survive Trump. But in what kind of shape?
http://theweek.com/articles/749435/gop-survive-trump-but-what-kind-shape

March 11: Trump Is Remaking The Courts In His Image: White, Male and Straight

He’s nominated 87 people to be lifetime federal judges. They’re about as diverse as a casting call for “Mad Men.”
https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/trump-judicial-nominees-white-male-straight_us_5aa2b9bee4b07047bec6107c

April 19: America's Electoral Future ... Demographic Shifts and the Future of the Trump Coalition

Many analysts suggest that if current voting patterns remain the same as in recent elections, the projected rise of communities of color—Hispanics, blacks, Asians, and others—will favor Democrats as the Republican-leaning white share of the electorate shrinks. However, the aging of the population and the continued substan-tial political clout of whites without college educations played a key role in electing Republican Donald Trump. Because the demography of these latter groups differs across states in ways that tend to benefit Republicans, this report finds that quite a few future scenarios could mimic the result of the 2016 election—a Democratic win in the popular vote with a Republican win in the Electoral College.
https://www.brookings.edu/research/americas-electoral-future_2018/

April 20: Republicans And Democrats Should Be Worried About 2020

A new projection of the voting population shows demographic problems for Republicans and Electoral College problems for Democrats.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republicans-_and_-democrats-should-be-worried-about-2020/

April 24: Research Finds That Racism, Sexism, and Status Fears Drove Trump Voters

Two new studies suggest Trump broadened the Republican Party's appeal by tapping into deep-seated anxieties and prejudices.
https://psmag.com/news/research-finds-that-racism-sexism-and-status-fears-drove-trump-voters

April 26: Trump voters were motivated by fear of losing their status

A new study says poverty had little to do with it
https://www.economist.com/democracy-in-america/2018/04/26/trump-voters-were-motivated-by-fear-of-losing-their-status

May 1: Will Demographics Fail Democrats Again?
https://www.commentarymagazine.com/politics-ideas/campaigns-elections/2018-millennial-fail-democrats/

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June 11: Did Trump spur Latinos to California’s primary polls?

Democrats are hoping anger with the Trump administration will drive Latino voters to the polls across the country for this November’s midterm elections and blunt the Republican president’s agenda. So how did that work out in California’s primary election, in a state where Latinos are the largest demographic group?

While Tuesday’s results were disappointing for some of the state’s most prominent Latino politicians, five Latino candidates for statewide office all advanced to the runoff in November — a first.

“That’s historic,” said Fernando J. Guerra, political science professor at Loyola Marymount University. “There’s never been five viable Latino candidates on the November ballot statewide, ever.”
https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/06/11/did-trump-spur-latinos-to-californias-primary-polls/

June 28: Trump Is Up Against a Demographic Time Bomb

The President is alienating future voters who will hold power in the next election

Demographic trends show he is ruling for a base that will soon be an electoral minority, while alienating a demographic that will soon hold the balance of power. Trump and his acolytes are facing a demographic time bomb, and the more he does to alienate everyone except his base, the worse it will get for everyone. The United States is governed today by a generation of politicians who are at the end of their careers and reflect a political era that is drawing to a close. In them, we are seeing the last gasps of 1950s America, as the baby boomers come to the end of an era in which they were the political majority and in control of industry.
https://medium.com/s/story/demographics-show-that-trump-can-only-lose-c55d9f79449

-- 2019 --

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